Going UP!

Residents at Crescent Park Lodge have shown very great interest of the future of their families so I decided to post a blog on prospective future growth in Ontario. Since Sustainable Global population must come down (We are told) to about a third of present in the same period the result is surprising.

Population Projection Ontario

  • Ontario’s population is projected to grow by 30.3 per cent, or more than 4.2 million, over the next 25 years, from an estimated 14.0 million on July 1, 2016 to more than 18.2 million by July 1, 2041.
  • The annual rate of growth of Ontario’s population is projected to ease gradually from 1.8 per cent to 0.8 per cent over the projection period.
  • Net migration is projected to account for 73 per cent of all population growth in the province over the 2016–2041 period, with natural increase accounting for the remaining 27 per cent. In the second half of the projections, the contribution of natural increase moderates as baby boomers increasingly reach senior years and the number of deaths increases more rapidly.
  • The number of seniors aged 65 and over is projected to almost double from 2.3 million, or 16.4 per cent of population, in 2016 to 4.6 million, or 25.0 per cent, by 2041. The growth in the share and number of seniors accelerates over the 2016–2031 period as baby boomers turn age 65. After 2031, the growth in the number of seniors slows significantly.
  • The number of children aged 0–14 is projected to increase gradually over the projection period, from 2.2 million in 2016 to almost 2.7 million by 2041. The children’s share of population is projected to decrease gradually from 15.9 per cent in 2016 to 14.9 per cent by 2041.
  • The number of Ontarians aged 15–64 is projected to increase from 9.5 million in 2016 to 10.9 million by 2041. This age group is projected to decline as a share of total population, declining from 67.8 per cent in 2016 to 60.1 per cent by 2041. As baby boomers continue to turn age 65, the growth in population aged 15–64 slows until 2027–28 and then accelerates over the remainder of the projection.
  • The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is projected to be the fastest growing region of the province, with its population increasing by almost 2.9 million, or 42.3 per cent, to reach
    9.6 million by 2041. The GTA’s share of provincial population is projected to rise from 48.3 per cent in 2016 to 52.7 per cent in 2041.
  • All regions see a shift to an older age structure. The GTA is expected to remain the region with the youngest age structure as a result of strong international migration and positive natural increase.

Wow! It seems there are bound to be more in Nursing Homes.

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